polybro is an AI agent for Polymarket that runs deep research on any prediction market — across academic papers, news, and live market data — then returns a probability estimate, a confidence score, cited evidence, and a trade signal you can act on or mirror.
How it works
You paste a Polymarket market URL. polybro pulls the live context — current prices, volume, liquidity, and order-book depth — then conducts multi-cycle research across three streams: the base-rate layer (academic literature), the catalyst layer (news media), and the price-discovery layer (real-time market data). It classifies and scores the quality of each piece of evidence, because a peer-reviewed finding and an anonymous post do not carry the same weight.
The output is not a black box. For every market you get a probability estimate, a confidence score, cited evidence with impact scores, correlation analysis across related markets, and the reasoning behind the number — so you can trust it, challenge it, or learn from it.
Why we write
The polybro blog exists because most traders lose on things that have nothing to do with being right about the world: misreading odds, ignoring resolution rules, sizing positions badly, or trading against concentrated money without knowing it. Our guides break down how to read Polymarket odds, prediction-market strategy, and the tooling serious traders use to find edge.